Recent

Polarized, Not Factionalized: Partisan Contribution Networks and Theories of Congressional Organization
with Brendan Nyhan. Updated July 2013.

 

Selected Publications

Ensley, Michael J., Michael W. Tofias, and Scott de Marchi. 2009. “District Complexity as an Advantage in Congressional Elections.” American Journal of Political Science 53(4): 990–1005.   → 

Merolla, Jennifer, Michael Munger and Michael Tofias. 2005. "In Play: A Commentary on Strategies in the 2004 U.S. Presidential Election." Public Choice 123:19-37.  ↓ 

More Publications

 

Working Papers

Candidates and the Complexity of Competition: A Model of Partisanship Across Districts
Prepared for APASA 2012 Panel 22-3 Political Parties in the U.S. Congress. Earlier versions presented under various titles at previous APSA and MPSA annual meetings.

Theories and Measures for Variations in Congressional Constituencies: Diversity, Heterogeneity, and Complexity
Prepared for APSA 2011 Panel 22-18 on legislative districts.
with Scott de Marchi and Michael Ensley.

Passing the Bucks: Partisan Contribution Networks and Theories of Congressional Organization
with Brendan Nyhan updated as “Polarized, Not Factionalized: Partisan Contribution Networks and Theories of Congressional Organization.”

The Two-Body Problem of U.S. Senators and Their Reelection Constituencies
Prepared for MPSA 2011 Panel 24-8 "Proximity Models: Moving beyond One Dimension."
with Scott de Marchi and Michael Ensley.

Partisan Defection and Loyalty among U.S. Senators
Prepared for APSA 2010 Panel 22-12 "Legislative Responsiveness to Voter Opinion."
with Scott de Marchi and Michael Ensley.

Are These Boots Made for Walking? Ideological Change among U.S. House Members
Prepared for MPSA 2010 Panel 40-5 "Estimating and Using Legislative Ideal Points."
with Scott de Marchi and Michael Ensley.

Houses in Motion Structure and Change in Roll Call Behavior and Analysis
Prepared for MPSA 2009 Panel 40-21 "Yeas and Nays Are Not Exogenous: The Roll Call Record in Congress."
with Scott de Marchi and Michael Ensley.

Partisan Influence in Congress and Institutional Change
Prepared for APSA 2008 Panel 22-18 "Legislative Rules and Institutions."
with Scott de Marchi and Michael Ensley.

Electoral Selection and the Congressional Incumbency Advantage: An Assessment of District Complexity
Prepared for APSA 2007 Panel 22-6 "Political Boundaries in Congressional Elections."
with Scott de Marchi and Michael Ensley.

Of Colonels and Generals: Understanding Asymmetry in the Colonel Blotto Game
Prepared for MPSA 2007 Panel 34-6 "Computational Models."

District Complexity and Congressional Incumbency Advantage
Prepared for MPSA 2007 Panel 40-9 "Incumbents and Challengers in Congressional Elections."
with Scott de Marchi and Michael Ensley.

Progressive Ambition as a Process of Adaptation and Exaptation
Prepared for APSA 2006 Panel 36-8 "Strategic Candidates and Parties."

Lotto, Blotto, or Frontrunner: U.S. Presidential Elections and The Nature of 'Mistakes'
Prepared for APSA 2006 Panel 36-28 "New Methods for Studying Electoral Systems and Voting Behavior."
with Michael Munger and Jennifer Merolla.

Progressive Ambition: House to Senate 1992-2002
Drafts presented at the American and Midwest Political Science Association Meetings.

Examining Congress with a Two-Dimensional Political Space
Prepared for presentation at the 2004 American Political Science Association Annual Conference.
with John Aldrich and David Rohde.

Assessing the Impact of State Legislative Term Limits on the U.S. Congressional Elections
Prepared for presenation at the 2002 American Political Science Association Annual Conference.
with Michael Ensley.

Legislative Context, Legislator Quality and Campaign Contributions
Versions of this paper have been presented at several conferences.
with Walter Mebane and Marc Ratkovic.